Major League Baseball Betting Line
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Now that we have a set date for Major League Baseball Opening Day and have a good handle on how the new schedules, rosters, and rule changes will work, we can dig in deep and start handicapping the 2020 MLB season. All of the major sportsbooks adjusted their lines when these adjustments were announced, and as a sharp bettor, you need to understand why the books moved these lines, and how to take advantage of it.
*Jul 02, 2020 Run Line MLB Point Spread Betting Options Different from football and basketball point spread odds, and puck lines in hockey, run lines are offered as the primary baseball spread betting option.
*VSIN sports betting guide for major league baseball with odds, lines, spreads and analysis for every player and game in baseball.
*(The Eastern League and Western League are essentially the NPB minors, but you won’t find betting lines on those outside of Japan.) All the Japanese baseball teams are sponsored by a national company or corporation (aka NPB companies), and the clubs are spread more or less evenly across the country.
Run Line MLB Point Spread Betting Options Different from football and basketball point spread odds, and puck lines in hockey, run lines are offered as the primary baseball spread betting option.
In the next several days before the July 23rd Opening Day, we here at The Sports Geek are going to take a deep dive into each of the division’s various betting odds, and give you the sharp betting advice that you need to make money betting on Major League Baseball in 2020. We will kick things off today, with the division that I think is the best in baseball this year, the American League West. Let’s get started! Houston Astros
*Odds To Win The World Series (+850)
*Odd To Win American League (+350)
*Odds To Win Division (-167)
*Odds To Make The Playoffs (-360)
*Win Total Over/Under 35.5The Roster
There aren’t many teams that can hang with the Astros when it comes to raw talent. That being said, the offseason was not kind to Houston. The headliner was losing ace pitcher, Gerrit Cole. But they also lost other impact players like Wade Miley, Jake Marisnick, Will Harris, and Robinson Chirinos. On top of losing several quality players, they also fired their GM and manager as part of the sign-stealing scandal, and they did almost nothing to bring talent back to Houston to make up for the significant losses.
#Astros initial Player Pool for 2020 Summer Camp. #ForTheHpic.twitter.com/a6H1BS6wWe
— Houston Astros (@astros) June 28, 2020
The Astros will absolutely have less talent than last season, but that doesn’t mean they don’t have enough firepower to get them back to the World Series. They still have sluggers like Jose Altuve, Yordan Alverez, George Springer, Carlos Correa, and Alex Bregman. They will also have Zack Greinke for the entire season after bringing him over for the playoff push last year, and Lance McCullers Jr seems to be healthy and ready to go after missing all of 2019 with Tommy John surgery. The Schedule
The schedule in the AL West is going to be tough. With at least four teams that have legit shots at making the postseason, there aren’t going to be many soft games on the schedule for Houston in the division. The schedule does start out light for Houston, though, as they have games against the Seattle Mariners, San Francisco Giants, Arizona Diamondbacks, and Colorado Rockies during their first full month of play. You can expect Houston to start out hot with an easy schedule.
Astros release 2020 schedule pic.twitter.com/jGt4mqQIBZ
— Brian McTaggart (@brianmctaggart) July 6, 2020
But the second half is going to be brutal for the Astros as they have ten games against the Texas Rangers, a team that is far better than most people are giving them credit for, as well as series against the Oakland Athletics, Los Angeles Angels, and Los Angeles Dodgers in the final month of the season. The Astros will pace the AL West for much of the year, but can they hold on to first place in the final few days of the season? Season Outlook
If karma is really a thing, the Astros aren’t going to win a single game this year. After being caught up in one of the biggest scandals in Major League Baseball history, they didn’t show nearly as much remorse as I would have liked to have seen, and they are going to have a huge target on their back in 2020.
The talent is there, but with a brand new manager and GM, and a retooled rotation, I think the Astros will regress from last season. This isn’t the year that you want a new manager trying to figure things out as they go, and I think that will cost the Astros in 2020. They will be solid, but don’t expect another trip to the World Series, and they are going to be in a dog fight for the division title. The Bet
The Astros 35.5 wins target is one of the highest in baseball. If the Astros were to go over the total, they would need to finish with at least a 36-24 record. That is a winning percentage of .600. In a full 162-game season, that would mean they would have to win 98 games. Only four teams won at least that many games in 2019, and while Houston was one of them, I think come up short of that rate of excellence this season, and I am taking the under 35.5 wins for Houston as my bet. Oakland Athletics
*Odds To Win The World Series (+2500)
*Odd To Win American League (+1300)
*Odds To Win Division (+275)
*Odds To Make The Playoffs (-118)
*Win Total Over/Under 33.5The Roster
The Oakland Athletics don’t have the big-name players like the Astros have, but this roster has a lot of talent on it. Oakland won a very quiet 97 games last year, which was tied for the fifth-most wins in the Major Leagues, yet they still get very little respect. When you look at this roster as a whole, they are strong everywhere, with no glaring weakness.
They did lose a bunch of their pitching staff, including Homer Bailey, Tanner Roark, and Blake Treinen. But when you look at their projected rotation, I think that they have improved. Frankie Montas returns after missing half of last season with a PED suspension and was a leading Cy Young candidate last year when he got pinched, as he was 9-2 with a 2.63 ERA. Rookie Jesus Luzardo is a rookie phenom at twenty-two years old and was unhittable in a brief stint with the team last year, when he posted a 1.50 ERA in 6 appearances.
Here’s the A’s 60-man player pool, which stands at 54 players for now: pic.twitter.com/8CqvaDHkhz
— Martín Gallegos (@MartinJGallegos) June 28, 2020
The other big addition for Oakland is getting their best hitter, Khris Davis, back healthy. Davis hit at least 40 home runs with over 100 RBI in three straight seasons before battling injuries all of last season and struggling. He is now healthy with the long layoff, and if he can get right back to being one of the best power hitters in the American League, Oakland will have enough offense to compete with Houston for the division title. The Schedule
We already talked about the divisional games being tough for the AL West this year, so Oakland is going to have its fair share of tough games. But where they catch a break is at the end of the year. Oakland finishes the season with six of their last nine games against the San Francisco Giants and the Seattle Mariners.
Complete 2020 Oakland Athletics 60 game MLB schedule. pic.twitter.com/up4wPVpQXZ
— Sean Cunningham (@SeanCunningham) July 6, 2020
In a season that is almost certainly going to come down to the wire, The A’s get to finish up with some soft games down the stretch. Oh, and did I mention that all of those six games are going to be at home? They also get the advantage of playing seven of the ten games against Houston, at home as well. If there was one series to circle on the calendar for the AL West in 2020, it is the series between the A’s and Astros, in Oakland, on September 7-10. Whichever team wins that series likely wins the division. Season Outlook
I am very high on Oakland in 2020. They won a bunch of games last year, and that was without their best pitcher, Frankie Montas, and their best hitter, Khris Davis, on the field for long stretches. They are healthy this year, and I think they are going to surprise a lot of people. They have a strong rotation, great defense, and powerful hitting. Don’t be shocked if the A’s find a way to win the division, and when Jesus Luzardo is the breakout Rookie of the Year winner, remember, you heard it here first. The Bet
There are several bets that I think show value on Oakland right now, as I think they are undervalued all over the board. But the one that sticks out to me the most, is their odds to win the AL West Division at +275. If I had to pick an outright favorite to win this division, I would take Oakland. The fact that I can back the A’s getting some juicy dog money, just makes the bet that much sweeter. Los Angeles Angels
*Odds To Win The World Series (+3500)
*Odd To Win American League (+1500)
*Odds To Win Division (+550)
*Odds To Make The Playoffs (+225)
*Win Total Over/Under 32.5The Roster
The Angels made the biggest splash in the division when it comes to bringing in talent in the offseason when they brought in World Series hero Anthony Rendon from the Washington Nationals on a huge free-agent contract. Signing Rendon to a deal worth nearly a quarter of a billion dollars tells me that the Angels are ready to win now.
Our player pool for Summer Camp was announced yesterday.
Now that we have a set date for Major League Baseball Opening Day and have a good handle on how the new schedules, rosters, and rule changes will work, we can dig in deep and start handicapping the 2020 MLB season. All of the major sportsbooks adjusted their lines when these adjustments were announced, and as a sharp bettor, you need to understand why the books moved these lines, and how to take advantage of it.
*Jul 02, 2020 Run Line MLB Point Spread Betting Options Different from football and basketball point spread odds, and puck lines in hockey, run lines are offered as the primary baseball spread betting option.
*VSIN sports betting guide for major league baseball with odds, lines, spreads and analysis for every player and game in baseball.
*(The Eastern League and Western League are essentially the NPB minors, but you won’t find betting lines on those outside of Japan.) All the Japanese baseball teams are sponsored by a national company or corporation (aka NPB companies), and the clubs are spread more or less evenly across the country.
Run Line MLB Point Spread Betting Options Different from football and basketball point spread odds, and puck lines in hockey, run lines are offered as the primary baseball spread betting option.
In the next several days before the July 23rd Opening Day, we here at The Sports Geek are going to take a deep dive into each of the division’s various betting odds, and give you the sharp betting advice that you need to make money betting on Major League Baseball in 2020. We will kick things off today, with the division that I think is the best in baseball this year, the American League West. Let’s get started! Houston Astros
*Odds To Win The World Series (+850)
*Odd To Win American League (+350)
*Odds To Win Division (-167)
*Odds To Make The Playoffs (-360)
*Win Total Over/Under 35.5The Roster
There aren’t many teams that can hang with the Astros when it comes to raw talent. That being said, the offseason was not kind to Houston. The headliner was losing ace pitcher, Gerrit Cole. But they also lost other impact players like Wade Miley, Jake Marisnick, Will Harris, and Robinson Chirinos. On top of losing several quality players, they also fired their GM and manager as part of the sign-stealing scandal, and they did almost nothing to bring talent back to Houston to make up for the significant losses.
#Astros initial Player Pool for 2020 Summer Camp. #ForTheHpic.twitter.com/a6H1BS6wWe
— Houston Astros (@astros) June 28, 2020
The Astros will absolutely have less talent than last season, but that doesn’t mean they don’t have enough firepower to get them back to the World Series. They still have sluggers like Jose Altuve, Yordan Alverez, George Springer, Carlos Correa, and Alex Bregman. They will also have Zack Greinke for the entire season after bringing him over for the playoff push last year, and Lance McCullers Jr seems to be healthy and ready to go after missing all of 2019 with Tommy John surgery. The Schedule
The schedule in the AL West is going to be tough. With at least four teams that have legit shots at making the postseason, there aren’t going to be many soft games on the schedule for Houston in the division. The schedule does start out light for Houston, though, as they have games against the Seattle Mariners, San Francisco Giants, Arizona Diamondbacks, and Colorado Rockies during their first full month of play. You can expect Houston to start out hot with an easy schedule.
Astros release 2020 schedule pic.twitter.com/jGt4mqQIBZ
— Brian McTaggart (@brianmctaggart) July 6, 2020
But the second half is going to be brutal for the Astros as they have ten games against the Texas Rangers, a team that is far better than most people are giving them credit for, as well as series against the Oakland Athletics, Los Angeles Angels, and Los Angeles Dodgers in the final month of the season. The Astros will pace the AL West for much of the year, but can they hold on to first place in the final few days of the season? Season Outlook
If karma is really a thing, the Astros aren’t going to win a single game this year. After being caught up in one of the biggest scandals in Major League Baseball history, they didn’t show nearly as much remorse as I would have liked to have seen, and they are going to have a huge target on their back in 2020.
The talent is there, but with a brand new manager and GM, and a retooled rotation, I think the Astros will regress from last season. This isn’t the year that you want a new manager trying to figure things out as they go, and I think that will cost the Astros in 2020. They will be solid, but don’t expect another trip to the World Series, and they are going to be in a dog fight for the division title. The Bet
The Astros 35.5 wins target is one of the highest in baseball. If the Astros were to go over the total, they would need to finish with at least a 36-24 record. That is a winning percentage of .600. In a full 162-game season, that would mean they would have to win 98 games. Only four teams won at least that many games in 2019, and while Houston was one of them, I think come up short of that rate of excellence this season, and I am taking the under 35.5 wins for Houston as my bet. Oakland Athletics
*Odds To Win The World Series (+2500)
*Odd To Win American League (+1300)
*Odds To Win Division (+275)
*Odds To Make The Playoffs (-118)
*Win Total Over/Under 33.5The Roster
The Oakland Athletics don’t have the big-name players like the Astros have, but this roster has a lot of talent on it. Oakland won a very quiet 97 games last year, which was tied for the fifth-most wins in the Major Leagues, yet they still get very little respect. When you look at this roster as a whole, they are strong everywhere, with no glaring weakness.
They did lose a bunch of their pitching staff, including Homer Bailey, Tanner Roark, and Blake Treinen. But when you look at their projected rotation, I think that they have improved. Frankie Montas returns after missing half of last season with a PED suspension and was a leading Cy Young candidate last year when he got pinched, as he was 9-2 with a 2.63 ERA. Rookie Jesus Luzardo is a rookie phenom at twenty-two years old and was unhittable in a brief stint with the team last year, when he posted a 1.50 ERA in 6 appearances.
Here’s the A’s 60-man player pool, which stands at 54 players for now: pic.twitter.com/8CqvaDHkhz
— Martín Gallegos (@MartinJGallegos) June 28, 2020
The other big addition for Oakland is getting their best hitter, Khris Davis, back healthy. Davis hit at least 40 home runs with over 100 RBI in three straight seasons before battling injuries all of last season and struggling. He is now healthy with the long layoff, and if he can get right back to being one of the best power hitters in the American League, Oakland will have enough offense to compete with Houston for the division title. The Schedule
We already talked about the divisional games being tough for the AL West this year, so Oakland is going to have its fair share of tough games. But where they catch a break is at the end of the year. Oakland finishes the season with six of their last nine games against the San Francisco Giants and the Seattle Mariners.
Complete 2020 Oakland Athletics 60 game MLB schedule. pic.twitter.com/up4wPVpQXZ
— Sean Cunningham (@SeanCunningham) July 6, 2020
In a season that is almost certainly going to come down to the wire, The A’s get to finish up with some soft games down the stretch. Oh, and did I mention that all of those six games are going to be at home? They also get the advantage of playing seven of the ten games against Houston, at home as well. If there was one series to circle on the calendar for the AL West in 2020, it is the series between the A’s and Astros, in Oakland, on September 7-10. Whichever team wins that series likely wins the division. Season Outlook
I am very high on Oakland in 2020. They won a bunch of games last year, and that was without their best pitcher, Frankie Montas, and their best hitter, Khris Davis, on the field for long stretches. They are healthy this year, and I think they are going to surprise a lot of people. They have a strong rotation, great defense, and powerful hitting. Don’t be shocked if the A’s find a way to win the division, and when Jesus Luzardo is the breakout Rookie of the Year winner, remember, you heard it here first. The Bet
There are several bets that I think show value on Oakland right now, as I think they are undervalued all over the board. But the one that sticks out to me the most, is their odds to win the AL West Division at +275. If I had to pick an outright favorite to win this division, I would take Oakland. The fact that I can back the A’s getting some juicy dog money, just makes the bet that much sweeter. Los Angeles Angels
*Odds To Win The World Series (+3500)
*Odd To Win American League (+1500)
*Odds To Win Division (+550)
*Odds To Make The Playoffs (+225)
*Win Total Over/Under 32.5The Roster
The Angels made the biggest splash in the division when it comes to bringing in talent in the offseason when they brought in World Series hero Anthony Rendon from the Washington Nationals on a huge free-agent contract. Signing Rendon to a deal worth nearly a quarter of a billion dollars tells me that the Angels are ready to win now.
Our player pool for Summer Camp was announced yesterday.
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